It is been a challenging task for the ruling party to sustain its stand across India after the implementation of the CAA. The saffron party seems to be losing its grip and after their defeat in Jharkhand assembly elections, their footprint in the eastern part of the country is shrinking with Bihar and Bengal along with the nort5heastern states opposing their policies.
BJP’s defeat in Jharkhand assembly election has established one thing that the voters have point-blank rejected the existing government. The negative vote swing in six months time and has proved to be a game-changer especially ahead of the assembly elections scheduled to be held in Delhi and West Bengal in 2020. The BJP’s footprint in the states is shrinking and it will be a massive boost for the opposition. The Jharkhand verdict should get the BJP worrying because it highlights a new pattern in which the saffron party is failing to keep the allies intact.anf just like in Maharashtra where the Shiv Sena trumped the BJP, in Jharkhand the JMM emerged successful and in both the cases the Congress had a role in defeating the BJP.
The debacle of BJP in Jharkhand will majorly impact the momentum of the party which it had gained all across the country In eastern India, it will be very crucial with Bengal CM Mamata Banerjee who has always been crusading against the policies of the BJP and also with the recent developments like the NRC and the CAA the environment of the nation is as it is heated up. And in the east people like Banerjee have started inciting the people against the BJP. The party is no more the significant coalition magnet which it used to be and since 2017, it has lost its allies like the PDP, TDP, Shiv Sena and AJSU.In Bihar, for example, CM Nitish Kumar might seek for equal or more seat share in Bihar. Kumar has already said no to the implementation of the controversial National Register for Citizens in Bihar, and thereby became the first NDA CM who is not supporting the proposal which Amit Shah had announced would be implemented all across India.
In the Bihar assembly elections, Nitish Kumar will represent the NDA alliance with his Janata Dal(United), as per the BJP. However, Kumar has the upper hand and he might bargain hard over the number of seats thus making it more difficult for the BJP. West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee and her counterparts like Naveen Patnaik in Odisha and Jaganmohan Reddy in Andhra Pradesh have outrightly expressed their anger against the proposed NRC and they have said that the BJP is set to polarize voters by triggering a sense of fear amongst the Muslims that they will be driven away. Nitish Kumar has been opposing the NRC ever since it was only implemented in Assam upon an SC court order. The north-eastern states are vehemently opposing it from the beginning along with Bengal and now Bihar too is against it. The BJP needs to think of a strategy too strong which will help its shrinking footprint in the east.
In Bengal CM Mamata Banerjee plans to continue with her protest rallies till the Citizenship law s not withdrawn and by doing this will get ample time to turn people of Bengal against the BJP. It is evident now that ahead of the assembly elections in West Bengal, the BJP will have to work very hard to gain back the lost grounds in the state.
TMC supremo has stated that democracy is under threat because of the BJP led government in the Centre and she had written to senior leaders and CM’s of other states and leaders of opposition parties to join hands and stand united against the BJP and formulates a plan to oust the BJP regime. The letters were sent to Congress President Sonia Gandhi, NCP chief Sharad Pawar, National Conference leader Farooq Abdullah among others.
In the beginning, when the BJP came to power at the Centre in 2014, it ruled just seven states. Nut eventually the Modi wave, captured as many as 21 states by 2018. The saffron party made inroads in non-NDA territory from Jammu and Kashmir and Assam in the east. However, in 2018, the BJP started losing its grip in the Hindi heartland. Then the footprint of the BJP shrunk further with the BJP-PDP coalition government in Jammu and Kashmir collapsing. The BJP's strength was put to test even in Karnataka in 2018 when B.S. Yediyurappa had to resign after four days as Chief Minister Almost a year later, after that the BJP 'Operation Kamala' had to be designed to overthrow the Congress-JD(S) coalition government in order for the party to return to power. Despite the challenges, BJP returned to power with a bang at the Centre with a massive mandate in May 2019. But the NRC and the CAA again led the party to lose its momentum especially in the Eastern part of India.
It will be interesting to see what will be the ruling party’s where protests are still continuing even after the party is making efforts of containing them and trying to make the public understand what NRC and CAA truly stand for.